NOUS43 KJKL 220053
PNSJKL
606-666-2560
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
853 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008
...DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...
.SYNOPSIS...
WHILE THE MONTH OF JULY ENDED RATHER WET... THE FIRST TWENTY DAYS OF
AUGUST HAVE FEATURED LITTLE IF ANY RAINFALL FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF
THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY. IT IS FOR THIS REASON THAT CONDITIONS HAVE
WORSEN.ED ACROSS THE REGION IN TERMS OF DROUGHT. THE LATEST EDITION
OF THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR... RELEASED ON THURSDAY AUGUST 21ST...
NOW INDICATES THAT AREAS SOUTH OF AN OWINGSVILLE TO SANDY HOOK LINE
ARE NOW EXPERIENCING ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ CONDITIONS. PORTIONS OF
EASTERN KENTUCKY LYING GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE HAL ROGERS
PARKWAY AND KY HIGHWAY 80 CORRIDOR ARE NOW IN A MODERATE /D1/
DROUGHT...WHILE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY ALONG
THE TENNESSEE BORDER HAVE WORSENED TO A SEVERE /D2/ DROUGHT.
.LOCAL AREA AFFECTED...
ACCORDING TO THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR... SEVERE /D2/ DROUGHT
CONDITIONS NOW EXIST OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BELL...
MCCREARY... AND WHITLEY COUNTIES... WITH MODERATE /D1/ DROUGHT
CONDITIONS EXISTING OVER THE REMAINING PORTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES.
ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ TO MODERATE /D1/ DROUGHT CONDITIONS NOW EXIST
OVER BREATHITT... CLAY... ELLIOTT... FLOYD... HARLAN... JACKSON...
KNOTT... KNOX... LAUREL... LESLIE... LETCHER... OWSLEY... PERRY...
PIKE... PULASKI... ROCKCASTLE... AND WAYNE COUNTIES.
ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ DROUGHT CONDITIONS NOW EXIST OVER ALL OR
PORTIONS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... BATH... ESTILL... JOHNSON...
LEE... MARTIN... MAGOFFIN... MENIFEE... MORGAN... MONTGOMERY...
POWELL...ROWAN... AND WOLFE.
.SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
AS OF THURSDAY AUGUST 21ST... BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT IN FLOYD...
JOHNSON... MARTIN AND PIKE COUNTIES. SHOULD DROUGHT CONDITIONS
PERSIST OR WORSEN... FURTHER ACTION MAY BE NEEDED.
THE KENTUCKY DIVISION OF WATER HAS ISSUED A WATER SHORTAGE WATCH FOR
HARLAN AND LETCHER COUNTIES.
.SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS...
AS OF THURSDAY AUGUST 21ST... MIDWEST REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER
ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT CURRENT SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS IN THE TOP
12 OF SOIL ARE AVERAGING 0.6 TO 0.9 INCHES BELOW NORMAL OR 40 TO 50
PERCENT BELOW NORMAL. THE TOP 72 INCHES OF SOIL IS AVERAGING 0.5 TO
1 INCH BELOW NORMAL OR 5 TO 10 PERCENT BELOW NORMAL.
.AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
THE LATEST EDITION OF THE KENTUCKY WEEKLY CROP AND WEATHER REPORT...
ISSUED ON MONDAY AUGUST 18TH INDICATES THAT 65 PERCENT OF KENTUCKY
TOPSOIL IS NOW RATED AT SHORT OR VERY SHORT FOR SOIL MOISTURE AND 58
PERCENT OF KENTUCKY SUBSOIL IS RATED AT SHORT OR VERY SHORT FOR SOIL
MOISTURE.
.FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...
AS OF THURSDAY AUGUST 21ST... FIRE DANGER IS CURRENTLY RATED AS
MODERATE IN THE EXTREME EASTERN PART OF THE STATE NEAR THE VIRGINIA
AND WEST VIRGINIA BORDERS AND LOW ELSEWHERE.
.CLIMATE SUMMARY...
DESPITE A WET JULY... THE GENERAL TREND SO FAR THIS YEAR AND
ESPECIALLY THIS MONTH HAS BEEN A DRY ONE. FIVE OF THE SEVEN MONTHS
IN 2008 HAVE FEATURED BELOW AVERAGE PRECIPITATION AT BOTH THE LONDON
CORBIN AIRPORT AND JACKSON WEATHER OFFICE. THE MONTH OF AUGUST HAS
SO FAR FEATURED BELOW NORMAL TO WELL BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
ONLY 0.09 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN AT JACKSON THROUGH THE FIRST
TWENTY ONE DAYS OF AUGUST. THE NORMAL AMOUNT FOR THE SAME PERIOD IS
2.83 INCHES. AT THE LONDON CORBIN AIRPORT... 0.40 INCHES OF RAIN HAS
FALLEN SO FAR THIS MONTH COMPARED TO AN AVERAGE OF 2.30 INCHES.
THE FOLLOWING TABLE BELOW ILLUSTRATES THE SHORT... MEDIUM... AND
LONG RANGE PRECIPITATION DEFICITS OR SURPLUSES BEING OBSERVED AT
SEVERAL EAST KENTUCKY OBSERVING STATIONS. THESE AMOUNTS INCLUDE
PRECIPITATION WHICH FELL THROUGH THURSDAY AUGUST 21ST...
MONTH DEPART| SINCE DEPART| SINCE DEPART
STATION COUNTY TO DATE NRML | 1JAN08 NRML | 1JULY07
NRML
| |
CAVE RUN LAKE ROWAN 2.29 -0.39 | 35.83 +3.49 | 60.25 +4.64
WEST LIBERTY MORGAN 1.27 -1.22 | 28.85 -1.74 | 51.56 -0.84
WFO JACKSON BREATHITT 0.09 -2.74 | 27.41 -5.25 | 48.94 -7.86
LONDON ASOS LAUREL 0.40 -1.90 | 24.51 -7.46 | 41.33 -12.77
MIDDLESBORO BELL 1.26 -1.84 | 26.66 -8.43 | 42.50 -16.24
CLOSPLINT HARLAN 1.99 -1.14 | 33.70 -6.91 | 54.28 -13.19
.PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND ALONG WITH
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. CHANCES FOR SCATTERED PRECIPITATION WILL
RETURN ON SUNDAY AND THEN CONTINUE INTO THE UPCOMING WEEK. A FEW
LOCATIONS COULD PICK UP SEVERAL ROUNDS OF MEASURABLE RAINFALL
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...A WIDESPREAD SOAKING
RAINFALL IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RETURN
TO NEAR NORMAL DURING THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.
THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK... PROVIDED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER... FOR THE PERIOD MONDAY AUGUST 29TH THROUGH THURSDAY
SEPTEMBER 4TH... INDICATES A WEATHER PATTERN CONDUCIVE FOR ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR NORMAL TO POSSIBLY ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION.
THE LONG RANGE OUTLOOK FOR THE MONTHS OF AUGUST... SEPTEMBER... AND
OCTOBER OF 2008... ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...
INDICATES A WEATHER PATTERN CONDUCIVE FOR EQUAL CHANCES OF NORMAL...
ABOVE NORMAL OR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURES.
.HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
AS OF THURSDAY AUGUST 21ST... MOST RIVERS ARE RUNNING BELOW NORMAL
OR MUCH BELOW NORMAL. HOWEVER... FLOWS DO INCREASE IN GENERAL AS ONE
MOVES UPSTREAM ON THE KENTUCKY RIVER AND ON THE BIG SANDY RIVER. THE
RED RIVER NEAR HAZEL GREEN... THE RED RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY... THE
ROCKCASTLE RIVER NEAR BILLOWS... THE CUMBERLAND RIVER NEAR HARLAN...
GOOSE CREEK AT MANCHESTER... AND THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT BOONEVILLE
ARE AMONG THE STREAMS EACH REPORTING MUCH BELOW NORMAL STREAMFLOWS.
THE LAKES UNDER THE CONTROL OF THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS ARE
AROUND THE NORMAL SUMMER POOL LEVELS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
THE OUTLOOK FOR STREAMFLOWS AND RESERVOIR... LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN
NEAR THE SAME OVER THE NEXT WEEK AS NEAR NORMAL RAINFALL SHOULD KEEP
RIVERS AND STREAMS FLOWING NICELY AND LAKES AROUND NORMAL SUMMER
POOL.
.NEXT ISSUANCE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ON OR BEFORE MONDAY
SEPTEMBER 1ST 2008.
.RELATED WEB SITES...
THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES ARE AVAILABLE FOR FURTHER WEATHER AND
DROUGHT INFORMATION (ADDRESSES SHOULD BE IN LOWER CASE)...
LOCAL WEATHER...CLIMATE AND WATER INFO...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JACKSONKY
ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
USGS - HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
COE - HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL
NOAA DROUGHT INFORMATION CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/INDEX.HTML
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NOAA.GOV
USDA NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE...
HTTP://WWW.NASS.USDA.GOV
MIDWEST CLIMATE WATCH...
HTTP://MRCC.SWS.UIUC.EDU/CLIWATCH/WATCH.HTM
UNIVERSITY OF KENTUCKY AGRICULTURAL WEATHER CENTER...
HTTP://WWWAGWX.CA.UKY.EDU/DROUGHT.HTML
KENTUCKY DIVISION OF WATER...
HTTP://WWW.WATER.KY.GOV/
KENTUCKY DIVISION OF FORESTRY...
HTTP://WWW.FORESTRY.KY.GOV/
NWS OHIO RIVER FORECAST CENTER...
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ER/OHRFC/
.ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER... THE
USDA... STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER.
INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA
OBSERVATIONS SITES... COOPERATIVE NETWORK STATIONS...THE USGS...AND
THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS.
.QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
PLEASE CONTACT...
TONY EDWARDS
JON PELTON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
JACKSON KENTUCKY 41339
COUNTY SPECIFIC MESSAGE:
TONY.EDWARDS@NOAA.GOV
JONATHAN.PELTON@NOAA.GOV
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